Saturday, January 21, 2012

Why this blog and Who am I

I just had this itch today to write a few lines on why I started out with this blog. The post would cover a little background on my personal life as well as two are interlinked.
As a kid, I was always fascinated with big cars and bikes, always drooling over them and wondering when I would be able to lay my hands on them. I thought my education would prepare me for my employment which then would let me have anything I wanted. Since, I was not very studious type I did get to go to the revered B schools and hence ended with mediocre job paying me average salary.
Suddenly i realised that all the dreams I had would not be fulfilled incase I went ahead going the drab job being part of the rat race. And then in year 2007 I went ahead and invested in the biggest of booms in Indian stock market. Since everything was going up, I made some profits and being a novice, this was one of the greatest joys I had found. As it meant that I could not go in for whatever machine I wanted.
You see, my target still was my big cars and bikes. But then 2008 came and all went downhill, my investments. The down they went the more I invested, not knowing a penny about the markets.
After having this life changing experience pretty early into my life in the markets, I was determined to find out what exactly are markets? And then I started educating myself on internet, paying for the best of the resources I found over time had been proved correct and right time and again. In that journey which started with understand the fundamentals, then to technicals as well to become and prepare what I would call an investor and trader as well... Over the years I have become adept myself at being able to understand whats happening around the world and what actions to take accordingly.

Since then I have been trading my own money in an effort to be financially free. There is the change here in my approach to markets... I want to be financially free rather than just gun for some petty 4 wheels... Being able to pass on to my coming generations and other souls who want to be a learner of markets will be a venture worth working for...

Sunday, January 15, 2012

Indian Markets - What Ahead

Predicting the markets is not recommended to anyone and I follow the same rule. However, one should know whats happening at the moment and need to act accordingly.
Let me present a few points as TA
  1. The beaten down infrastructure sector in India has rallied big time during this week
  2. The sectors off lately which had shown gains like IT and FMCG have started correcting
  3. Even the banking stocks are showing some improvement in prices indicating buyers are willing to pay higher prices
  4. Nifty the index is holding above 4800 for the time being with the larger TF in favor of move upwards but on daily its little overbought so may go sideways correction
Thus the conclusion may be that the sectors that were beaten down are coming into favor with the traders and speculators with the others like IT and FMCG due for a correction now.
For going long we now know which way to go.

Tuesday, January 10, 2012

Nifty and Scrips Status Check


TF
Trend indicator
Lead indicator
Candlestick
Conclusion
Daily
Mild sell has turned into a buy
Given a buy after turning up now at 35
Very strong candle and finish. Has closed above 8/13ema as well. 712 was last swing high and 720 is the 200dema.  
Look to sell out either at 711 or 719.  Double bottom is confirmed for the scrip
Weekly
Sell but lowering histograms
Buy at 19
Closed at 100ema supports which comes in at 658. Possible double bottom on cards
Low risk set up.
Monthly
Sell
Sell
Looks like more downside is likely




NIFTY

TF
Trend indicator
Lead indicator
Candlestick
Conclusion
Daily
Today produced higher histogram  
Overbought and gave a sell but today turned into buy
Gap up after Doji made as inside day. Was almost a marubozu day. This breakout above 4800 came with higher volumes  
Longs taken with stop loss as 4820.  
Weekly
Sell but now possible but in the making
Buy after turning up from oversold conditions at 19
Prices are consolidating around 200ema. 4786  is the immediate resistance
Good set up for longs but need to wait
Monthly
Sell
Sell and Oversold reached 16 levels 
Possible bullish harami on monthly charts. Upmove can happen until 4970 
Downside looks limited as long as harami pattern is in the making




TATA MOTORS

TF
Trend indicator
Lead indicator
Candlestick
Conclusion
Daily
Buy but lower histogram
Overbought and now in mild sell
206 is proving to be a resistance and seems to be short term high. Could not close above 206.  
Wait for longs. Can come down till 193
Weekly
Buy
Buy at 68
After Very big and strong candle. Fast rise setup may lead to extra gains. Made a new weekly high. Make go sideways to down. 
Need to see if weekly overcomes the overbought conditions on daily. Weekly looks like turning down as well. 
Monthly
Sell but turning up
Buy
208 remains short term resistance.
Wait



INFOSYS

TF
Trend indicator
Lead indicator
Candlestick
Conclusion
Daily
Rolling down at 7.45
Sell turned into mild buy
Correcting sideways
Wait for longs 
Weekly
Buy
Buy at 69 but may be rolling down
Higher high and higher low. Not able to clear last weeks high 
Wait for longs
Monthly
Sell but turning up
Buy but turning down
2887 and 2742 are the breakout or breakdown levels, triangle in the making.
Wait



HINDUSTAN UNILVER

TF
Trend indicator
Lead indicator
Candlestick
Conclusion
Daily
Sell but may be turning up with lower histograms
Sell and reaching oversold zone &after mild buy gave mild sell  
Inconclusive & correcting sideways since last 4 days
Wait for a day
Weekly
Buy but rolling down and near a sell
Overbought and sell
Correction going on. Holding on to last weeks low 
Wait for longs 
Monthly
Buy
Sell
Correction after monthly doji
Wait



GVKPIL 

TF
Trend indicator
Lead indicator
Candlestick
Conclusion
Daily
Buy mode 
Overbought
Strong marubozu candle at 13.45. 100ema at 13.89. has closed above 100ema at 14.  
Wait, can present very good setup for longs
Weekly
Just given buy at 0.48
Turned up in buy mode at 42
Marubozu candles on weekly with higher high and higher low and accompanied with higher volumes
Good for longs
Monthly
Sell but with lower histograms
Buy but at 5.76
Bullish harami on monthly 
Marubozu on monthly strong with big volumes